Phillips, Lawrence


Professor Lawrence Phillips  

Department

Position held

Department of Management

Management Science Group (Department of Management)

Emeritus Teacher

Experience keywords:

organisational structure; process consultancy and facilitation; decision and risk analysis; decision conferencing; prioritisation and resource allocation; strategy; management of change; group processes and teamworking; option appraisal and evaluation; effective decision making

Media experience:

RadioTV

Contact Points

LSE phone number:

+44 (0)20 7955 7101

Publications

The following references are sourced from LSE Research Online|. References that are linked lead to the full text.

2011

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2011) What is strategy? Journal of the operational research society, 62 (5). pp. 926-929. ISSN 0160-5682

Nutt, David J and Phillips, Lawrence D. and King, Leslie A (2011) Drugs and harm to society reply. Lancet, 377 (7965). pp. 555-555. ISSN 0140-6736

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Fasolo, Barbara and Zafiropoulos, Nikolaos and Beyer, Andrea (2011) Is quantitative benefit–risk modelling of drugs desirable or possible? Drug discovery today: technologies, 8 (1). ISSN 1740-6749

2010

Nutt, David J and King, Leslie A and Phillips, Lawrence D. (2010) Drug harms in the UK: a multicriteria decision analysis. The Lancet, 376 (9752). pp. 1558-1565. ISSN 0140-6736

2009

Morton, Alec and Airoldi, Mara and Phillips, Lawrence D. (2009) Nuclear risk management on stage: a decision analysis perspective on the UK’s committee on radioactive waste management. Risk analysis, 29 (5). pp. 764-779. ISSN 1539-6924

Morton, Alec and Phillips, Lawrence D. (2009) Fifty years of probabilistic decision analysis: a view from the UK. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 60 ISSN 0160-5682

2007

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Bana e Costa, Carlos A. (2007) Transparent prioritisation, budgeting and resource allocation with multi-criteria decision analysis and decision conferencing. Annals of operations research, 154 (1). pp. 51-68. ISSN 0254-5330

Phillips, Lawrence D. and von Winterfeldt, Detlof (2007) Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards to decision analysis and behavioral research. In: Edwards, Ward and Miles, Ralph F. and von Winterfeldt, Detlof, (eds.) Advances in decision analysis: from foundations to applications. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 71-80. ISBN 9780521682305

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2007) Decision conferencing. In: Edwards, Ward and Miles, Ralph F. and von Winterfeldt, Detlof, (eds.) Advances in decision analysis: from foundations to applications. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 375-399. ISBN 9780521682305

2006

Morton, Alec and Phillips, Lawrence D. (2006) Constructing organisational preferences: a study of within-criterion weighting. Working paper, LSEOR 06.82. Department of Operational Research, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2006) How Raiffa's RAND memo led to a multi-criteria computer program. Journal of multi-criteria decision analysis, 14 (4-6). pp. 185-189. ISSN 1057-9214

Phillips, Lawrence D. and von Winterfeldt, Detlof (2006) Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards to decision analysis and behavioral research. Operational Research working papers, LSEOR 06.86. Operational Research Group, Department of Management, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2006) Decision conferencing. Operational Research working papers, LSEOR 06.85. Operational Research Group, Department of Management, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Walker, S. and Cone, M. (2006) Benefits-risk assessment model for medicines: developing a structured approach to decision making. Centre for Medicines Research International, Epsom, UK

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Egan, Michael and Airoldi, Mara (2006) MCDA decision conference. Catalyze, Winchester, UK

2005

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2005) Bayesian belief networks. In: Everitt, Brian and Howell, David, (eds.) Encyclopedia of statistics in behavioral science. Wiley-Blackwell, Chichester, UK. ISBN 9780470860809

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Bana e Costa, Carlos A. (2005) Transparent prioritisation, budgeting and resource allocation with multi-criteria decision analysis and decision conferencing. Operational Research working papers, LSEOR 05.75. Department of Operational Research, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2005) Bayesian statistics. In: Everitt, Brian and Howell, David, (eds.) Encyclopedia of statistics in behavioral science. Wiley-Blackwell, Chichester, UK. ISBN 9780470860809

2003

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Stock, Adrian (2003) Use of multi-criteria decision analysis in air quality policy. Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, London

1999

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1999) Group elicitation of probability distributions: are many heads better than one? In: Shanteau, James and Mellors, Barbara and Schum, David, (eds.) Decision science and technology: Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Norwell, MA, pp. 313-330. ISBN 9780792383994

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Bartlett, Annie (1999) Decision making and mental health law. In: Eastman, Nigel and Peay, Jill, (eds.) Law without enforcement: the marginal contribution of law to mental health. Hart Publishing, London, pp. 173-188. ISBN 9781901362756

1993

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1993) Decision theory and its relevance to pharmaceutical medicine. In: Mann, R.D. and Rawlins, M.D. and Auty, R.M., (eds.) Textbook of pharmaceutical medicine. Parthenon Publishing Group, Lancashire, UK, pp. 247-255. ISBN 9781850707028

1992

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1992) Gaining corporate commitment to change. In: Holtham, Clive, (ed.) Executive information systems and decision support. Chapman & Hall. ISBN 9780412447709

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1992) On the generativeness of stratified systems theory. In: Cang, Stephen and Cason, Kathryn and Jaques, Elliot, (eds.) Festschrift for Elliott Jaques. Cason Hall.

1990

Phillips, L.D. and Humphreys, P. and Embrey, D. and Selby, D.L. (1990) A socio-technical approach to assessing human reliability. In: Oliver, Robert M. and Smith, James Q., (eds.) Influence diagrams, belief nets and decision analysis. John Wiley & Sons Ltd., West Sussex, UK, pp. 253-276. ISBN 9780471923817

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1990) Decision analysis for group decision support. In: Eden, Colin and Radford, Jim, (eds.) Tackling strategic problems: the role of group decision support. SAGE Publications. ISBN 9780803982604

1989

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1989) People-centred group decision support. In: Doukidis, Georgios I. and Land, Frank William and Miller, Gordon, (eds.) Knowledge-based management support system. Ellis Horwood, Chichester, UK. ISBN 9780745805313

1986

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1986) Decision analysis and its applications in industry. In: Mitra, Gautam, (ed.) Computer assisted decision making: expert systems, decision analysis, mathematical programming. North-Holland. ISBN 9780444878878

1984

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1984) A theory of requisite decision models. Acta psychologica, 56 (1-3). pp. 29-48. ISSN 0001-6918

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1984) Decision support for managers. In: Otway, Harry J, and Peltu, Malcolm, (eds.) The managerial challenge of new office technology. Butterworths, London, UK, pp. 80-98. ISBN 9780408015332

Wright, G. and Phillips, Lawrence D. (1984) Decision making: cognitive style or task specific behaviour. In: Bonarius, H. and van Harten, G. and Smid, N., (eds.) Personality psychology in Europe. Swets & Zeitlinger, Lisse, The Netherlands.

1983

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1983) A theoretical perspective on heuristics and biases in probabilistic thinking. In: Humphreys, P. and Svenson, O. and Vari, A., (eds.) Analysing and aiding decision processes. North-Holland Publishing Company, Oxford, UK, pp. 525-544. ISBN 9780444865229

Wright, G.N. and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Wisudha, Aylene (1983) Cultural comparisons on decision making under uncertainty. In: Deregowski, J. and Dziurawiec, S. and Annia, R.C., (eds.) Explorations in cross-cultural psychology. Swets and Zeitlinger, Lisse, The Netherlands, pp. 387-402.

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Wisniewski, Thomas K. (1983) Bayesian models for computer-aided underwriting. The statistician, 32 (1/2). pp. 252-263. ISSN 1962-2002

1982

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1982) Requisite decision modelling: a case study. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 33 (4). pp. 303-311. ISSN 0160-5682

Lichtenstein, Sarah and Fischhoff, Baruch and Phillips, Lawrence D. (1982) Calibration of probabilities: the state of the art to 1980. In: Kahneman, Daniel and Slovic, Paul and Tversky, Amos, (eds.) Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 306-334. ISBN 9780521284141

1980

Wright, George N. and Phillips, Lawrence D. (1980) Cultural variation in probabilistic thinking: alternative ways of dealing with uncertainty. International journal of psychology, 15 (4). pp. 239-257. ISSN 0020-7594

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1980) Organisational structure and decision technology. Acta psychologica, 45 (1-3). pp. 247-264. ISSN 0001-6918

1979

Wright, G.N. and Phillips, L.D (1979) Personality and probabilistic thinking: an exploratory study. British journal of psychology, 70 (2). pp. 295-304. ISSN 0007-1269

Wright, G.N. and Phillips, L.D. (1979) Cross-cultural differences in the assessment and communication of uncertainty. Current anthropology, 20 (4). pp. 845-846. ISSN 0011-3204

1978

Wright, George N. and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Whalley, Peter C. and Choo, Gerry T. and Ng, Kee-Ong and Tan, Irene and Wisudha, Aylene (1978) Cultural differences in probabilistic thinking. Journal of cross-cultural psychology, 9 (3). pp. 285-299. ISSN 0022-0221

1977

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Wright, G.N. (1977) Cultural differences in viewing uncertainty and assessing probabilities. In: Jungermann, Helmut and de Zeeuw, Gerard, (eds.) Decision making and change in human affairs. D. Reidel, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, pp. 507-515.

1976

Lindley, D.V. and Phillips, L.D. (1976) Inference for a Bernoulli process (a Bayesian view). The American statistician, 30 (3). pp. 112-119. ISSN 0003-1305

1974

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1974) Book review: empirical Bayes methods by J.S. Maritz. Statistician, 23 (2). pp. 141-142. ISSN 0039-0526

1973

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1973) Bayesian statistics for social scientists. Thomas Nelson, London, UK. ISBN 9780690001372

1970

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1970) The ‘true probability’ problem. Acta psychologica, 34 pp. 254-264. ISSN 0001-6918

1969

Gustafson, D.H. and Edwards, W. and Phillips, L.D. and Slack, W.V. (1969) Subjective probabilities in medical diagnosis. IEEE transactions on man-machine systems, 10 (3). pp. 61-65. ISSN 0536-1540

1968

Edwards, W. and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Hays, W.L. and Goodman, B.C. (1968) Probabilistic information processing systems: design and evaluation. IEEE transactions on systems science and cybernetics, 4 (3). pp. 248-265. ISSN 0536-1567

1966

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Edwards, Ward (1966) Conservatism in a simple probability inference task. Journal of experimental psychology, 72 (3). pp. 346-354. ISSN 0096-3445

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Hays, W.L. and Edwards, W. (1966) Conservatism in complex probabilistic inference. IEEE transactions on human factors in electronics, 7 (1). pp. 7-18. ISSN 0096-249X

1965

Edwards, W. and Lindman, H. and Phillips, Lawrence D. (1965) Emerging technologies for making decisions. In: New directions in psychology. Holt, Rinehart and Winston, New York, USA, pp. 261-325.

1964

Edwards, W. and Phillips, Lawrence D. (1964) Man as tranducer for probabilities in Bayesian command and control systems. In: Bryan, G.L. and Shelley, M.W., (eds.) Human judgement and optimality. John Wiley, New York, USA, pp. 360-401.

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